A Theory of Utility Conditionals: Paralogical Reasoning from Decision-Theoretic Leakage

Autor/in	Bonnefon, Jean-Francois
Titel	A Theory of Utility Conditionals: Paralogical Reasoning from Decision-Theoretic Leakage
Quelle	In: Psychological Review, 116 (2009) 4, S.888-907 (20 Seiten) PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0033-295X
DOI	10.1037/a0017186
Schlagwörter	Theories; Decision Making; Thinking Skills; Inferences; Prediction; High Schools; Behavior; Abstract Reasoning + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Theory; Theorie; Decision-making; Entscheidungsfindung; Denkfähigkeit; Inference; Inferenz; Vorhersage; High school; Oberschule; Abstraktes Denken; Denken
Abstract	Many "if p, then q" conditionals have decision-theoretic features, such as antecedents or consequents that relate to the utility functions of various agents. These decision-theoretic features leak into reasoning processes, resulting in various paralogical conclusions. The theory of utility conditionals offers a unified account of the various forms that this phenomenon can take. The theory is built on 2 main components: (1) a representational tool (the utility grid), which summarizes in compact form the decision-theoretic features of a conditional, and (2) a set of folk axioms of decision, which reflect reasoners' beliefs about the way most agents make their decisions. Applying the folk axioms to the utility grid of a conditional allows for the systematic prediction of the paralogical conclusions invited by the utility grid's decision-theoretic features. The theory of utility conditionals significantly extends the scope of current theories of conditional inference and moves reasoning research toward a greater integration with decision-making research. (Contains 2 tables.) (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10