Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
Autor/inn/en | Elsenbroich, Corinna; Badham, Jennifer |
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Titel | Negotiating a Future That Is Not Like the Past |
Quelle | In: International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 26 (2023) 2, S.207-213 (7 Seiten)
PDF als Volltext |
Sprache | englisch |
Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz |
ISSN | 1364-5579 |
DOI | 10.1080/13645579.2022.2137935 |
Schlagwörter | Models; Futures (of Society); Research Methodology; Systems Approach; Change Agents; Decision Making; Policy Formation; Prediction; Data Analysis; Educational Planning; Well Being; COVID-19; Pandemics; Foreign Countries; Simulation; Social Change; Public Policy; Public Health; Vignettes; United Kingdom (England) Analogiemodell; Future; Society; Zukunft; Research method; Forschungsmethode; Systemischer Ansatz; Decision-making; Entscheidungsfindung; Politische Betätigung; Vorhersage; Auswertung; Bildungsplanung; Well-being; Wellness; Wohlbefinden; Ausland; Simulation program; Simulationsprogramm; Sozialer Wandel; Öffentliche Ordnung; Gesundheitswesen |
Abstract | Agent-based models combine data and theory during both development and use of the model. As models have become increasingly data driven, it is easy to start thinking of agent-based modelling as an empirical method, akin to statistical modelling, and reduce the role of theory. We argue that both types of information are important where the past is not a reliable blueprint for the future, which occurs when modelling dynamic complex systems or to explore the implications of change. By balancing theory and data, agent-based modelling is a tool to describe plausible futures, that we call 'justified stories'. We conclude that this balance must be maintained if agent-based models are to serve as a useful decision support tool for policymakers. (As Provided). |
Anmerkungen | Routledge. Available from: Taylor & Francis, Ltd. 530 Walnut Street Suite 850, Philadelphia, PA 19106. Tel: 800-354-1420; Tel: 215-625-8900; Fax: 215-207-0050; Web site: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals |
Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
Update | 2024/1/01 |