Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
| Autor/inn/en | Koebel, C. Theodore; Price, Michael L. |
|---|---|
| Institution | Louisville Univ., KY. Urban Studies Center. |
| Titel | Annual Estimates of Poverty for Counties in Kentucky, 1979-1986. |
| Quelle | (1988), (26 Seiten)
PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; online; Monographie |
| Schlagwörter | Census Figures; Demography; Economically Disadvantaged; Low Income Groups; Models; Multivariate Analysis; Population Trends; Poverty; Quality of Life; Residential Patterns; Social Indicators; Social Science Research; Statistics; Trend Analysis; Kentucky |
| Abstract | This report is the result of an experimental effort by the Population Studies Program at the University of Louisville. The program investigated the feasibility of estimating the percentage of Kentucky residents in poverty at the county level based on a variety of income, employment, demographic, and public assistance data available annually for counties. The results of this modeling effort were released for review and discussion. The model estimated the poverty rate from surrogate social indicators that are expected to systematically vary with poverty. The model was first calibrated on 1969 data for all counties of the state, then used to estimate the 1979 poverty rate for all counties based on the 1969 model coefficients. Results were compared with the poverty rates estimated from the 1980 census. Then the model was recalibrated using the 1979 data, and the 1979 coefficients were used to estimate the poverty rates for subsequent years. When tested against the 1980 census of the 1979 poverty rate, the model's average absolute percentage point error for 1979 was 2.4 points. The maximum error was 12.5 points and 13 of the state's 120 counties had errors exceeding 5 percentage points. Over half the counties were within 2 percentage points of the 1980 census estimate. The estimates indicated that poverty had increased in Kentucky since 1979. The estimated 1986 rate was 18.2 percent, slightly above the 1979 rate of 17.6 percent. The number of people estimated to be in poverty in 1986 was 678,000. Eastern Kentucky continued to have the highest number of counties with high poverty rates. This document details the model's calibration and contains three maps and six tables. (TES) |
| Anmerkungen | Urban Studies Center, Attn: Publications, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292 ($6.00). |
| Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
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