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Autor/inn/enSilva, Hernán A.; Quezada, Luis E.; Oddershede, A. M.; Palominos, Pedro I.; O'Brien, Christopher
TitelA Method for Estimating Students' Desertion in Educational Institutions Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process
QuelleIn: Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 25 (2023) 1, S.101-125 (25 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift
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ZusatzinformationORCID (Silva, Hernán A.)
ORCID (Quezada, Luis E.)
Spracheenglisch
Dokumenttypgedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN1521-0251
DOI10.1177/1521025120971227
SchlagwörterForeign Countries; Prediction; Models; Probability; College Students; Dropouts; Dropout Characteristics; Regression (Statistics); Decision Making; Chile
AbstractThe objective of this paper is the design of a predictive model of students' desertion in Educational Institutions based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The proposed model is based on a weighted sum of individual probabilities of desertion associated with various factors (explanatory variables) by experts in the combined use of the AHP and the Ratings technique for the evaluation of the explanatory variables of the model. This proposal was applied in an Institution of Higher Education in Chile. To evaluate the predictive performance of the method, the results were compared with those obtained using Logistic Regression (RL) and with the actual retention of the students in one year. It was found that the proposed method had a 64.6% level of predictability, whereas the model with logistic regression had a 69.9%. It is concluded that it is possible to predict student desertion with a simple model based on the Analytical Hierarchy Process. (As Provided).
AnmerkungenSAGE Publications. 2455 Teller Road, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Tel: 800-818-7243; Tel: 805-499-9774; Fax: 800-583-2665; e-mail: journals@sagepub.com; Web site: https://sagepub.com
Erfasst vonERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update2024/1/01
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